Treasury 10-year yield on Friday? Odds & Predictions 2026
Treasury 10-year yield on Friday?
Treasury 10-year yield on Friday?
Chance
4.43% to 4.45%
14%
▲ 8
4.43% to 4.45%
14%
▲ 8
4.46% to 4.48%
7%
▼ 2
4.46% to 4.48%
7%
▼ 2
4.49% to 4.51%
6%
▼ 1
4.49% to 4.51%
6%
▼ 1
12 more
Market Rules
4.27% or below
Resolves Yes ifthe yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is below 4.28 % on Jun 26, 2026.Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 26, 2026, or one week following Jun 26, 2026.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 19, 2026 · 4:30pm EDT
Market closesJun 26, 2026 · 3:25pm EDT
Projected payoutJun 26, 2026 · 4:25pm EDT
SeriesKXTNOTEW
EventKXTNOTEW-26JUN26
MarketKXTNOTEW-26JUN26-T4.28
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.