Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

$3,794,519 vol

ALL

xAI

Yes

xAI

Yes

Google

Yes

Google

Yes

Anthropic

No

Anthropic

No

8 more

Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Market Rules

xAI

The outcome is Yes

If xAI has a sole #1 ranked AI model (checked at 10am ET daily) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).

Timeline and payout

Market openNov 5, 2024 · 10:00am EST

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out5 minutes after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it closes by Feb 18, 2025 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXTOPAI

EventKXTOPAI-26

MarketKXTOPAI-26-JAN01-GR

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.