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  1. US Elections

Third-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?

All votes except the Democratic and Republican nominees
Chance
At least 2%
66%

At least 2%

66%
At least 2.5%
45%

At least 2.5%

45%
At least 3%
32%

At least 3%

32%
5 more
Third-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?

At least 1%

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Jan 8, 2029
$0
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