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Series Image

Trump

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?

Chance

Before Dec 1, 2026

40%

Before Dec 1, 2026

40%

Before Jan 1, 2027

58%

Before Jan 1, 2027

58%

Before Apr 1, 2027

75%

Before Apr 1, 2027

75%

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Dollars$

Odds

50% chance

Max payout

Nov 30, 2026

$0

$12,350 vol