Will Trump issue a pardon in December?
Will Trump issue a pardon in December?
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if anyone has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve in December 2025.Outcome verified from White House and New York Times.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 2, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTRUMPPARDONMONTH
EventKXTRUMPPARDONMONTH-26JAN01
MarketKXTRUMPPARDONMONTH-26JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
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