Who will be Trump's Ambassador to Turkey?

Tom Barrack 95%

Eric Adams 10%

ALL

Before 2026

Chance

$3,137vol

Tom Barrack

95%

▲ 5

Tom Barrack

95%

▲ 5

Eric Adams

--%

Eric Adams

--%

Rules summary for

Tom Barrack

If Tom Barrack is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Ambassador to Turkey before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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