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Will the UK issue a new form of investor visa before the US issues a gold card? Odds & Predictions 2025
World
Will the UK issue a new form of investor visa before the US issues a gold card?
World
Will the UK issue a new form of investor visa before the US issues a gold card?
$3,321 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If the United Kingdom has issued a visa to any individual under a new investor visa program requiring significant financial investment before the United States has issued a single gold card visa to any individual before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
the UK Home Office
,
UK Visas and Immigration
,
the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services
,
the United States Department of State
,
the White House
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
The Guardian
,
BBC
, and
NBC
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 3, 2025 ยท 4:45pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXUKUSVISAS
Event
KXUKUSVISAS-26
Market
KXUKUSVISAS-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.