New US-Iran nuclear deal this year?
New US-Iran nuclear deal this year?
$547,957 vol
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
An agreement also made with other countries (i.e. multilaterally) is still encompassed if the United States participates. "A new Iran-US nuclear deal" means a formal written agreement signed by authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran that (1) imposes verifiable restrictions on Iran's nuclear program, including limits on uranium enrichment, centrifuge numbers, or nuclear facility operations, AND (2) provides for the lifting, suspension, or modification of at least one US economic sanction on Iran in exchange for Iran's nuclear commitments.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 11, 2025 · 10:15pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXUSAIRANAGREEMENT
EventKXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-26
MarketKXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.