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How high will the 10Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end? Odds & Predictions
Financials
How high will the 10Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Financials
How high will the 10Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Chance
Above 4.55%
99%
▲ 40
Yes
No
8¢
Above 4.55%
99%
▲ 40
Yes
No
8¢
Above 4.60%
75%
▲ 25
Yes
99¢
No
25¢
Above 4.60%
75%
▲ 25
Yes
99¢
No
25¢
Above 4.65%
46%
Yes
46¢
No
75¢
Above 4.65%
46%
Yes
46¢
No
75¢
Above 4.50%
Yes
Above 4.50%
Yes
Market Rules
Above 4.55%
If the 10Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.55%, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
US Department of the Treasury
.
Note: this event is directional.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 1, 2026 · 1:00pm EDT
Market closes
Jun 30, 2026 · 3:29pm EDT
Projected payout
Jul 7, 2026 · 5:30pm EDT
Series
KXUST10
Event
KXUST10-26JUN30
Market
KXUST10-26JUN30-T4.55
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.