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How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end? Odds & Predictions
Financials
·
Interest Rates
How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Financials
·
Interest Rates
How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Chance
Above 4.30%
90%
Yes
98¢
No
3¢
Above 4.30%
90%
Yes
98¢
No
3¢
Above 4.35%
66%
Yes
90¢
No
31¢
Above 4.35%
66%
Yes
90¢
No
31¢
Above 4.40%
9%
▼ 22
Yes
37¢
No
88¢
Above 4.40%
9%
▼ 22
Yes
37¢
No
88¢
Above 4.25%
Yes
Above 4.25%
Yes
Market Rules
Above 4.30%
If the 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.30%, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
US Department of the Treasury
.
Note: this event is directional.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 1, 2026 · 12:30pm EDT
Market closes
Jun 30, 2026 · 3:29pm EDT
Projected payout
Jul 7, 2026 · 5:30pm EDT
Series
KXUST5
Event
KXUST5-26JUN30
Market
KXUST5-26JUN30-T4.30
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.