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How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end? Odds & Predictions
Financials
·
Interest Rates
How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Financials
·
Interest Rates
How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Chance
Above 4.30%
95%
Yes
25¢
No
98¢
Above 4.30%
95%
Yes
25¢
No
98¢
Above 4.35%
8%
Yes
25¢
No
97¢
Above 4.35%
8%
Yes
25¢
No
97¢
Above 4.40%
1%
▼ 8
Yes
19¢
No
98¢
Above 4.40%
1%
▼ 8
Yes
19¢
No
98¢
Above 4.25%
Yes
Above 4.25%
Yes
Market Rules
Above 4.30%
Resolves Yes if
the 5Y US Treasury Yield before month-end is above 4.30%
.
Outcome verified from
US Department of the Treasury
.
Note: this event is directional.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 1, 2026 · 12:30pm EDT
Market closes
Jun 30, 2026 · 3:29pm EDT
Projected payout
Jul 7, 2026 · 5:30pm EDT
Series
KXUST5
Event
KXUST5-26JUN30
Market
KXUST5-26JUN30-T4.30
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Above 4.30%
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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