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5Y US Treasury Yield at month-end? Odds & Predictions
Financials
·
Interest Rates
5Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?
Financials
·
Interest Rates
5Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?
Chance
Above 4.20%
54%
▼ 20
Yes
48¢
No
74¢
Above 4.20%
54%
▼ 20
Yes
48¢
No
74¢
Above 4.25%
39%
▼ 11
Yes
34¢
No
91¢
Above 4.25%
39%
▼ 11
Yes
34¢
No
91¢
Above 4.30%
20%
▼ 30
Yes
37¢
No
98¢
Above 4.30%
20%
▼ 30
Yes
37¢
No
98¢
2 more
Market Rules
Above 4.20%
Resolves Yes if
the 5Y US Treasury Yield for month-end is above 4.20%
.
Outcome verified from
U.S. Department of the Treasury
.
Note: this event is directional.
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 1, 2026 · 2:00pm EDT
Market closes
Jun 30, 2026 · 3:29pm EDT
Projected payout
Jul 7, 2026 · 5:30pm EDT
Series
KXUST5M
Event
KXUST5M-26JUN30
Market
KXUST5M-26JUN30-T4.20
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.