Who will be Trump's Trade Representative? Odds & Predictions 2026
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump's Trade Representative?
Who will be Trump's Trade Representative?
Jamieson Greer
Yes
Jamieson Greer
Yes
Howard Lutnick
No
Howard Lutnick
No
Robert Lighthizer
No
Robert Lighthizer
No
Scott Bessent
No
Scott Bessent
No
Market Rules
Jamieson Greer
The outcome is Jamieson Greer
Resolves Yes ifJamieson Greer is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be U.S. Trade Representative between November 19, 2024 and December 31, 2026.Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 26, 2024 · 6:45pm EST
Market closedFeb 26, 2025 · 12:58pm EST
Paid outJan 1, 2027 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXUSTR
EventKXUSTR-26DEC31
MarketKXUSTR-26DEC31-JG
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