UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q1 2026 Odds & Predictions
UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q1 2026
UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q1 2026
Above 4.10%
Yes
Above 4.10%
Yes
Above 4.20%
Yes
Above 4.20%
Yes
Above 4.30%
No
Above 4.30%
No
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Market Rules
Above 3.30%
The outcome is 4.30
If U.S. Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (10 Yr) for March 31, 2026 (end of Q1 2026) is above 3.30%, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 5, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 31, 2026 at 3:29pm EDT.
SeriesKXUSTYLD
EventKXUSTYLD-10Y26MAR31
MarketKXUSTYLD-10Y26MAR31-T3.30
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.