Major volcano eruption this year?
Major volcano eruption this year?
Chance
At least 1
98%
At least 1
98%
At least 2
41%
At least 2
41%
At least 3
46%
At least 3
46%
Market Rules
At least 1
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 2, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesJun 29, 2027 · 11:00am EDT
Projected payoutJun 29, 2027 · 11:30am EDT
SeriesKXVEI4
EventKXVEI4-26DEC31
MarketKXVEI4-26DEC31-A1
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.