Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
400
Account
Search
Social
Reminder: Weekly scheduled exchange maintenance will occur from 3-5 AM ET. Trading will be paused during this time.
MARKETS
INVEST
LIVE
400
PRO
MORE
US Elections
IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent
LIVE
1K
Chance
At least 20%
6%
Yes
8¢
No
96¢
At least 20%
6%
Yes
8¢
No
96¢
At least 22%
5%
▼ 75
Yes
5¢
No
98¢
At least 22%
5%
▼ 75
Yes
5¢
No
98¢
At least 24%
14%
▼ 52
Yes
5¢
No
98¢
At least 24%
14%
▼ 52
Yes
5¢
No
98¢
7 more
Voter Turnout
Vote Percent
Democrat Margin of Victory
People are also trading
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
Illinois 04 House General Election: voter turnout
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent
Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percent
LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent
South Carolina Governor election: Alan Wilson vote percent
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
NY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
IL-04 House election: Lupe Castillo vote percent
At least 20%
YES 8¢
NO 96¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
9% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
$6,022 vol
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Byron Sigcho Lopez
I
$188.4K
19%
$188.4K raised
·
19% small donors
Christopher Getty
I
$188.2K
6.5%
$188.2K raised
·
6.5% small donors
Lupe Castillo
R
—
—
Mayra Macias
I
$306.1K
19%
$306.1K raised
·
19% small donors
Patty Garcia
D
$358.7K
7.0%
$358.7K raised
·
7.0% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
More Elections Markets
More Vote percentages in US general elections markets
Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
Alabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percent
Arkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percent
Arkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percent
Trending Elections markets
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
2028 Republican presidential nominee
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
NC-03 House winner?
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Florida Senate margin of victory
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Alaska Senate winner?
Elections hub
All Elections markets