USA vs Mexico: Who Will Go Further

USA vs Mexico: Who Will Go Further

Chance

Mexico advances further than USA

--%

Eliminated same stage

--%

USA advances further than Mexico

--%

Important information: Please read the full rules to understand the applicable stages for determining which team advances further.

Market Rules

Mexico advances further than USA

If Mexico advances to a further stage than USA in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FIFA and ESPN.

This market resolves based on the team that advances to a further stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Applicable stages:

Group Stage
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Lose the Final
Win the Final

If both teams tie for the furthest stage advanced to, then the market titled "Eliminated same stage" resolves to Yes.

Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, their furthest stage will be considered the Semifinals, regardless of whether they win the third-place match. For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits, or is disqualified during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their furthest stage will be considered based on the last stage they successfully completed. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, their furthest stage will be considered the Round of 16.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Market openJun 9, 2026 · 12:00pm EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout5 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Aug 3, 2026 at 10:00am EDT.

SeriesKXWCTEAMH2H

EventKXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX

MarketKXWCTEAMH2H-26USAMEX-MEX

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Current and former players, coaches, and staff of the league, association, or organization(s) governing the event. For college leagues/associations specifically, or where otherwise appropriate (as identified by the Exchange), this applies to current and former players/coaches/staff of the specific teams in <event> rather than the league/association as a whole (e.g., if the Division I Gonzaga Men’s Basketball Team is playing in <event>, this prohibition will restrict trades by current/former players of that team, rather than all current/former players/coaches/staff in any NCAA sport).
Paid employees of the league and league participants
Owners of teams and the league
and household members and immediate family of all above
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.