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Will Grok be banned on X this year? Odds & Predictions 2025
Politics
Will Grok be banned on X this year?
Politics
Will Grok be banned on X this year?
$1,049 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If Grok @grok is banned on X (even temporarily) after Aug 12, 2025 at 10:00 AM and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
Barchart
,
Elon Musk
,
New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
Energy Information Administration
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
account holder of <account>
,
TechCrunch
,
Verge
,
Mashable
,
Engadget
, and
Ars Technica
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 12, 2025 ยท 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXXBANNEDGROK
Event
KXXBANNEDGROK-26
Market
KXXBANNEDGROK-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.