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OpenAI new CEO by December 2024?

Sam Altman 100%
Mira Murati N/A
Kyle Vogt N/A
Nov 2023Nov 2023Nov 2023Nov 2023Apr 20250%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

By Dec 2024 (+0)
$72,692vol

Sam Altman
Yes

Mira Murati
No

Emmett Shear
No

Kyle Vogt
No

Rules summary for
Sam Altman
The outcome is Yes
If Sam Altman is announced as the next permanent CEO of OpenAI by Dec 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from OpenAI.
Interim, acting, or temporary CEOs do not qualify. If there are multiple CEOs, then both persons would satisfy the Payout Criterion. It is sufficient if an announcement is made that will become CEO of OpenAI, including after .

Timeline and payout

About
OpenAI's board ousted Sam Altman, the cofounder and CEO of the company, on November 17th. Mira Murati, OpenAI's CTO, was named interim CEO as the board looked for a longer term leader. On Sunday, November 20th, OpenAI's board named Emmet Shear as a new interim CEO, many suspect due to Mira siding with Sam and Greg (OpenAI's president who quit on Friday) on calling for the leadership team to be reinstated and for the board to resign. Who do you think will be the permanent CEO of the AI trailblazer?
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