Will Harris win New Mexico by more than 6 points? Odds & Predictions 2024
Will Harris win New Mexico by more than 6 points?
Will Harris win New Mexico by more than 6 points?
$5,518,133 vol
Kamala Harris by more than 6%
No
Kamala Harris by more than 6%
No
Market Rules
Kamala Harris by more than 6%
The outcome is No
If the popular vote margin of victory in New Mexico is above 6% for Kamala Harris or another representative of the Democratic party in the 2024 election, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.
If a candidate has won but has a margin that rounds to 0.00 (for example, winning by one vote), then that would resolve the bracket that has the winning candidate 0.00-0.49% as Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 1, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 minute after closing
The market will close following the release of the Underlying data. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 6, 2025 at 3:16pm EST.
SeriesPOPVOTEKHNM
EventPOPVOTEKHNM-2024
MarketPOPVOTEKHNM-2024-D-T6
Insider trading is prohibited
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Holders of federal and statewide public office.
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Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Presidential campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
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Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.