Quarter of negative GDP growth by Q2 2022 by Q2 2022 -- One quarter of negative GDP (Revisions included)?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
202120212022202220250%25%50%75%100%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

by Q2 2022 -- One quarter of negative GDP (Revisions included) (+0)
$597,086vol

Yes


Rules summary
The outcome is 2022 Q1 GDP growth was negative
If the seasonally adjusted annualized percent change in quarterly U.S. real GDP from the previous quarter is strictly less than zero in at least one of Q3 2021, Q4 2021, Q1 2022, and Q2 2022, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Please see RECSS in the Rulebook for more details.

Timeline and payout