Who will win the Senate race in Arkansas?

2026

Chance

Republican party

Current incumbent: Tom Cotton

94%

Republican party

Current incumbent: Tom Cotton

94%

Democratic party

Rules summary for

Republican party

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Arkansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

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