Who will win the Senate race in Arizona?
Who will win the Senate race in Arizona?
Ruben Gallego
Yes
Ruben Gallego
Yes
Kari Lake
No
Kari Lake
No
Market Rules
Ruben Gallego
If Ruben Gallego or another representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Arizona for the term beginning in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 7, 2024 · 8:15am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 minute after closing
SeriesSENATEAZ
EventSENATEAZ-24
MarketSENATEAZ-24-D
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on Senate campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Senatorial campaigns.
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.