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Michigan Senate Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: El-Sayed vs. Rogers | Kalshi

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Senate

Michigan Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party

Chance

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic party

68%

Abdul El-Sayed

Democratic party

68%

Mike Rogers

Republican party

32%

Mike Rogers

Republican party

32%

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Michigan Senate margin of victory

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Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

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Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

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Michigan Senate margin of victory

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Michigan Governor-Senate combo

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Washtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

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Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

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Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

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Michigan Senate election: Mike Rogers vote percent

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Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?

Michigan Senate winner?

Abdul El-Sayed

Dollars$

Odds

70% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

El-Sayed

Nov 3 ·D +2.0margin forecast

Rogers

$9,930,551 vol

Race Intel

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

Abdul El-SayedD48.6%
48.6%
$12.2M
26%
$12.2M raised·26% small donors
Mike RogersR44.9%
44.9%
$10.6M
20%
$10.6M raised·20% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past presidential elections

2024R +1.4%2020D +2.8%