Who will win the Senate race in Oregon?

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

2026

Chance

Democratic party

Current incumbent: Jeff Merkley

97%

Democratic party

Current incumbent: Jeff Merkley

97%

Republican party

Rules summary for

Democratic party

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Oregon for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

People are also trading

Who will win the Senate race in Virginia?

86% chance

· Democratic party

How many Senators vote to confirm Elise Stefanik as Ambassador to the UN?

78% chance

· 70 or below

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?

64% chance