Who will win the Senate race in Virginia?

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2026

% Chance

Democratic party

Current incumbent: Mark Warner

87%

Democratic party

Current incumbent: Mark Warner

87%

Republican party

13%

Republican party

13%

Rules summary for

Democratic party

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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