Series Image

How many launches will SpaceX have this year?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
DecJanFebMarApr140150160170180
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2025
Chance
$406,668vol

Above 160
83%
▼ 1

Above 180
36%
▼ 2

Above 200
13%

4 more markets

Rules summary for
Above 180
If SpaceX has more than 180 launches in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Aviation Administration.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions
About
SpaceX dominated the global space launch market in 2023, accounting for 98 of the 109 US launch attempts and placing 1,937 satellites into orbit, primarily for its Starlink constellation. The company's revenue for 2023 was estimated to be $8.7 billion, with a significant portion coming from Starlink subscriptions and launch services. SpaceX aims to increase its launch frequency, targeting 144 launches in 2024, a significant jump from its 2023 performance.
Show more
Series Image
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Buy Yes · Above 180
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
41¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0