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Suez canal closes before April?

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Dec 2023Jan 2024Feb 2024Mar 2024Apr 20250%5%10%15%20%
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Before Apr, 2024 (+0)
$24,317vol

No


Rules summary
The outcome is No
If the Suez Canal has been closed for any point in time by Mar 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Suez Canal Authority and Bloomberg.

Timeline and payout

About
Over 10% of global trade passes through the Suez Canal each year. However, thanks to ongoing attacks from Iranian-backed Houthi rebels, that number may drop significantly in 2024. Several high-profile companies, including oil giant BP and the shipping behemoth Maersk, have paused their traffic in the area. Will the ongoing rebel attacks force the Suez Canal to close before April of 2024, or will a U.S.-led military coalition succeed in bringing the violence to a halt?
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