2025-26 NBA draft lottery odds
All 14 clubs that missed the 2025-26 postseason, ordered by record, with the league's published chance at the first pick. WSH Wizards finished with the worst record and hold the joint-best odds at 14.0%.
2025-26 NBA draft lottery odds
| # | Team | W-L | 1ST PICK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 17-65 | 14.0% |
| 2 |  | 19-63 | 14.0% |
| 3 |  | 20-62 | 14.0% |
| 4 |  | 22-60 | 11.5% |
| 5 |  | 22-60 | 11.5% |
| 6 |  | 25-57 | 9.0% |
| 7 |  | 26-56 | 6.8% |
| 8 |  | 26-56 | 6.8% |
| 9 |  | 31-51 | 4.5% |
| 10 |  | 32-50 | 3.0% |
| 11 |  | 37-45 | 2.0% |
| 12 |  | 42-40 | 1.5% |
| 13 |  | 43-39 | 1.0% |
| 14 |  | 44-38 | 0.5% |
How the lottery works
The rule table gives the three best slots 14.0% each, which is the point of the 2019 reform: there is nothing to gain by finishing 30th rather than 28th. 3 clubs share the top chance of 14.0%.
The field is every club that played no postseason game — not the fourteen worst records in the league. Those are different sets: seeding is per conference, so a club can finish below a postseason team from the other conference and still not be in the lottery.
Only the chance at the **first** pick is shown. The league also publishes the chance of landing anywhere in the top four, and that table is not derivable from this one — so rather than approximate it, this page shows the column it can state exactly.
4 of these clubs finished level with another on record. Clubs on the same record have their odds averaged across the slots they are level over — that is the league's own rule, so the percentage beside each of them is exact. What a coin flip settles is the order they are listed and pick in, and that draw is not in any feed here, so the order shown between level clubs is arbitrary.
Nothing here is the drawn result. The lottery itself is an event; this is the standing going into it.