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Affordable Care Act Odds & Predictions 2026

House passes bill to extend ACA premium tax credits?

Before Feb 2026

Yes

Before 2027

Yes

$712,598 vol3 markets

How many House votes to extend ACA subsidies?

Between 230 and 234

Yes

Above 240

No

$92,418 vol10 markets

Will a bill that prefunds HSAs/FSAs become law this year?

Yes

No

$55,235 vol1 market

Will Trump repeal Obamacare in 2025?

Yes

No

$38,910 vol1 market

Affordable Care Act Odds & Predictions