From subway service to mayoral approval, prediction markets on New York City reveal how public sentiment shifts in real time. Traders, policy watchers, and locals can explore probabilities across key civic issues shaping the city's immediate future.

Climate

Hourly temperature

New York City temperature today at 11am EDT?

59° or above

1.10x

60° or above

1.02x

$672 vol24 markets

Snow and rain

Rain in NYC in January 2026?

Above 2 inches

Yes

Above 1 inches

Yes

$146,945 vol4 markets

Snow and rain

Snow in New York City from Jan 30 - Feb 3rd?

Above 2.0 inches

Above 4.0 inches

$170,345 vol10 markets

Sports

Other

New York City Marathon Men's Division

Benson Kipruto

Yes

Alexander Mutiso

$73,138 vol34 markets

Other

New York City Marathon Women's Division

Hellen Obiri

Yes

Sharon Lokedi

$24,537 vol25 markets

Elections

Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election?

9-11.99%

Yes

6-8.99%

$17,309,615 vol10 markets

Mentions

Politicians

What will AOC say during Mamdani's inauguration?

Affordable / Affordability

Yes

Immigrant / Immigration

Yes

$230,004 vol10 markets

General

Will NYC add a new 3 Michelin Star restaurant in 2025?

Yes

$18,638 vol1 market