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From subway service to mayoral approval, prediction markets on New York City reveal how public sentiment shifts in real time. Traders, policy watchers, and locals can explore probabilities across key civic issues shaping the city's immediate future.
Climate
Daily temperature
Highest temperature in NYC today?
64° or below
2.29
x
39
%
65° to 66°
2.73
x
34
%
$135,180 vol
6 markets
Snow and rain
Will it rain in NYC today?
Yes
--
99
%
No
93.5
x
1
%
$42,990 vol
1 market
Hourly temperature
NYC temperature today at 2pm EDT?
55° or above
TBD
56° or above
TBD
$451 vol
15 markets
Snow and rain
Snow in New York City from Jan 30 - Feb 3rd?
Above 2.0 inches
No
Above 4.0 inches
No
$170,345 vol
10 markets
Snow and rain
Rain in NYC in January 2026?
Above 2 inches
Yes
Above 1 inches
Yes
$146,945 vol
4 markets
Sports
Sports
New York City Marathon Men's Division
Benson Kipruto
Yes
Alexander Mutiso
No
$73,138 vol
34 markets
Sports
New York City Marathon Women's Division
Hellen Obiri
Yes
Sharon Lokedi
No
$24,537 vol
25 markets
Mentions
Politicians
What will AOC say during Mamdani's inauguration?
Affordable / Affordability
Yes
Immigrant / Immigration
Yes
$230,004 vol
10 markets
Elections
Elections
Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election?
9-11.99%
Yes
6-8.99%
No
$17,309,615 vol
10 markets
General
General
Will NYC add a new 3 Michelin Star restaurant in 2025?
Yes
No
$18,638 vol
1 market
NYC Prediction Markets & Local Forecasts | Kalshi
NYC Prediction Markets
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