NYC Prediction Markets & Local Forecasts

From subway service to mayoral approval, prediction markets on New York City reveal how public sentiment shifts in real time. Traders, policy watchers, and locals can explore probabilities across key civic issues shaping the city's immediate future.

Climate

Daily temperature

Highest temperature in NYC today?

64° or below

2.29x

65° to 66°

2.73x

$135,180 vol6 markets

Snow and rain

Will it rain in NYC today?

Yes

93.5x

$42,990 vol1 market

Hourly temperature

NYC temperature today at 2pm EDT?

55° or above

TBD

56° or above

TBD

$451 vol15 markets

Snow and rain

Snow in New York City from Jan 30 - Feb 3rd?

Above 2.0 inches

Above 4.0 inches

$170,345 vol10 markets

Snow and rain

Rain in NYC in January 2026?

Above 2 inches

Yes

Above 1 inches

Yes

$146,945 vol4 markets

Sports

New York City Marathon Men's Division

Benson Kipruto

Yes

Alexander Mutiso

$73,138 vol34 markets

Sports

New York City Marathon Women's Division

Hellen Obiri

Yes

Sharon Lokedi

$24,537 vol25 markets

Mentions

Politicians

What will AOC say during Mamdani's inauguration?

Affordable / Affordability

Yes

Immigrant / Immigration

Yes

$230,004 vol10 markets

Elections

Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election?

9-11.99%

Yes

6-8.99%

$17,309,615 vol10 markets

General

Will NYC add a new 3 Michelin Star restaurant in 2025?

Yes

$18,638 vol1 market