MARKETSLIVESOCIAL
RESEARCH
TrendingPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTech & Science
Company
BlogCareersPrivacy PolicyWSOP Sweepstakes RulesData Terms of ServiceCompanyBrand Kit
Social
X (Twitter)LinkedInDiscordInstagramRedditTikTok
Product
Help CenterAPIFAQFAQ for Finance ProfessionalsRegulatoryTrading HoursFee ScheduleTrading ProhibitionsIncentive ProgramResearchInstitutional TradingResponsible TradingMarket Integrity

© 2026 Kalshi Inc.
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Trending

1
Oscar for Best Actor?Michael B. Jordan
61%
▲5
2
Oscar for Best Picture?One Battle After Another
78%
▲1
3
Announcers at Minnesota vs Oklahoma City Professional Basketball GameBuzzer
46%
▲11

2026 Primaries

1
How many House Republicans will lose their primary this year?7 or more
46%––
2
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary this year?2
49%
▲10
3
Democratic Senate primaries comboYes
57%
▼4

Top movers

1
Announcers at Orlando vs Atlanta Professional Basketball GameJordan
90%
▲88
2
Women's Round of 32 QualifiersGrand Canyon
1%
▼98
3
Men's College Basketball Tournament Most Outstanding PlayerAJ Dybantsa
2%
▼97

New

1
Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?Robin
60%––
2
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?Before Mar 18, 2026
76%
▲7
3
Who will attend Trump's crypto & business conference?Donald Trump
56%
▲1

Highest volume

1
THE PLAYERS Championship Winner?Ludvig Aberg
$74,193,833 vol73 markets
58%
▲19
2
2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom
$60,896,113 vol39 markets
30%
▲2
3
Men's College Basketball ChampionMichigan
$52,099,872 vol111 markets
21%
▲1
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Politics

Congress

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 60 days
2.01x
At least 55 days
1.76x
$4,429,637 vol21 markets
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
1.69x
Before 2027
7.14x
$223,536 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027
5.25x
Before August
10.4x
$1,371,815 vol9 markets
International

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

Between 10% and 19.99%
1.35x
Between 20% and 29.99%
5.88x
$42,759 vol7 markets

Elections

US Elections

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.33x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.1x
$60,896,113 vol39 markets
US Elections

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.63x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.57x
$21,962,010 vol30 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
6.25x
$6,771,806 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.75x
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.27x
$1,708,326 vol2 markets

Companies

AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

xAI
2.08x
OpenAI
1.72x
$854,446 vol14 markets
Elon Musk

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

340000 or more
2.22x
330000 or more
1.64x
$411,941 vol12 markets
BTC

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

Before January 2027
2.50x
Before October 2026
3.70x
$3,654,140 vol8 markets
IPOs

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

OpenAI
OpenAI
2.00x
Anthropic
Anthropic
2.33x
$981,050 vol28 markets

Economics

Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing
1.89x
Stagflation
4.35x
$7,118 vol4 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 1 cut
3.70x
Exactly 0 cuts
3.85x
$2,074,630 vol21 markets
Employment

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes
1.16x
No
6.29x
$2,074,468 vol1 market
Employment

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 9%
1.92x
Above 8%
1.61x
$9,165 vol10 markets

Oscar for Best Actor?

MarketPays outOdds
Michael B. Jordan
Michael B. Jordan
1.60x
Timothee Chalamet
Timothee Chalamet
2.98x
$14,164,486 vol4 markets

News · The Best Actor race at the 98th Academy Awards is shaping up as one of the night’s most unpredictable contests, with several performers in strong contention, BBC News Reports. Michael B. Jordan’s performance in “Sinners” has gained late momentum after recent awards wins, while Timothée Chalamet and others remain firmly in the mix heading into Sunday's ceremony.

THE PLAYERS Championship Winner?

LIVERound 4
Ludvig Aberg
Michael Thorbjornsen
$74,210,863 vol71 markets

News · Rory McIlroy said a back injury is improving but a final decision on defending his Players Championship title at TPC Sawgrass will likely come shortly before his scheduled tee time, BBC Sport Reports. The Northern Irish golfer withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational after aggravating the injury but said the issue is muscular and improving as he prepares for a potential return.

Oscar for Best Picture?

MarketPays outOdds
One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
1.26x
Sinners
Sinners
4.73x
$16,709,152 vol9 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards take place Sunday in Los Angeles, with the Best Picture race widely seen as a showdown between 'One Battle After Another' and 'Sinners,' KTLA Reports. Paul Thomas Anderson's political comedy-thriller built early momentum during awards season, while Ryan Coogler's vampire drama gained attention with 16 nominations and a major ensemble win at the Actor Awards.

Indian Wells Championship: Sabalenka vs Rybakina

MarketPays outOdds
Aryna Sabalenka
1.62x
Elena Rybakina
2.29x
$703,471 vol

News · The Indian Wells women’s final will feature another showdown between the world’s top-ranked player and the world No. 3 after both advanced with straight-set semifinal victories, BBC News reports. The matchup marks their third final meeting in just over four months as the rivals renew one of the sport's most competitive recent title clashes.

Who will attend the Oscars?

MarketPays outOdds
Sean Penn
Sean Penn
3.66x
Connor Storrie
Connor Storrie
3.80x
$690,537 vol10 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards will take place Sunday evening in Hollywood, with the ceremony airing at 7 p.m. ET on ABC, Boston.com Reports. The event will honor films across major categories including Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Actress during one of the film industry's biggest nights.

Minnesota at Oklahoma City

LIVE· 1ST - 00:45.90
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Minnesota
Minnesota
$2,024,027 volSpread and Total

News · Minnesota travels to face Oklahoma City at 1:00 p.m ET Sunday at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, The Oklahoman reports. Oklahoma City enters the matchup after a close home win earlier in the week, while Minnesota arrives following a road victory on Friday.

Men's Round of 64 Qualifiers

MarketPays outOdds
SMU
SMU
1.93x
Texas
Texas
2.14x
$2,258,095 vol163 markets

News · The 68-team field for the men’s national college basketball tournament will be announced at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, giving fans their first look at the full bracket, USA TODAY Reports. The reveal comes after most conference championship games wrapped up this weekend, allowing teams and fans to begin preparing for the opening round matchups.
1 of 7