Series Image

Jamie Dimon nominated to the Cabinet?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
OctNovDecDecApr0%10%20%30%40%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before Feb 1, 2025 (+0)
$135,175vol

No


Rules summary
The outcome is No
If Jamie Dimon is nominated to the Cabinet before Feb 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Office of the Presidency.
Announcements made by a President-elect will only be effective once they are inaugurated as President. To be clear, if the President appoints (or says he will appoint) the individual to a cabinet-level position, even if that position does not require Senate confirmation, then the market resolves to Yes. For example, the Chief of Staff to the White House is typically a cabinet-level position that does not require Senate confirmation.

Timeline and payout