**Important information: For this event, the first eligible Billboard chart will be the chart dated January 10, 2026. Charts dated earlier will not be considered.
Who will have a top 10 song this year?
Who will have a top 10 song this year?
Chance
Gracie Abrams
60%
Gracie Abrams
60%
The Weeknd
53%
The Weeknd
53%
Chappell Roan
45%
Chappell Roan
45%
More markets
Market Rules
Ariana Grande
If Ariana Grande has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Billboard.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. Features are encompassed by the Payout Criterion as long as they are credited by Billboard. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 1, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKX10SONG
EventKX10SONG-26
MarketKX10SONG-26-ARI
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.