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Will the German government request a ban of the AfD? Odds & Predictions 2025
Politics
Will the German government request a ban of the AfD?
Politics
Will the German government request a ban of the AfD?
Order book
No
Market Rules
In 2025
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if
the government of the Federal Republic of Germany (Bundesregierung) formally files an application or petition with the Federal Constitutional Court to ban the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party before Dec 31, 2025
.
Outcome verified from
Politico EU
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
May 10, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXAFDBANREQUEST
Event
KXAFDBANREQUEST-25
Market
KXAFDBANREQUEST-25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
In 2025
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
Sign up to trade
$4,789 vol