Will the German government request a ban of the AfD?

$4,789 vol

Order book

No

The outcome is No

If the government of the Federal Republic of Germany (Bundesregierung) formally files an application or petition with the Federal Constitutional Court to ban the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Politico EU, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

Timeline and payout

Market openMay 10, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXAFDBANREQUEST

EventKXAFDBANREQUEST-25

MarketKXAFDBANREQUEST-25

Insider trading is prohibited

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Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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