Will the US and China make an agreement to limit frontier AI work in 2025?
Will the US and China make an agreement to limit frontier AI work in 2025?
$517 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If the United States and China make an agreement to limit frontier AI training or deployment before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from official websites of countries governments or their Ministries of Foreign Affairs, or Digital Affairs, official legal gazettes or treaty registries maintained by countries, national legislative repositories of countries, official sites of issuing bodies for multilateral agreements, the United Nations, European Union, G7, G20, OECD, Council of Europe, African Union, The New York Times, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Associated Press, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, BBC News, CNN, Al Jazeera, Nikkei Asia, Le Monde, Süddeutsche Zeitung, and South China Morning Post.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 17, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXAILIMITSUSCHINA
EventKXAILIMITSUSCHINA-25
MarketKXAILIMITSUSCHINA-25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.