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Will John Bolton be arrested this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Politics
Will John Bolton be arrested this year?
Politics
Will John Bolton be arrested this year?
$969,995 vol
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if
John Bolton is arrested before Jan 1, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
CNBC
,
law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 25, 2025 · 4:00pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 21, 2025 at 5:12pm EDT.
Series
KXARRESTJOHNBOLTON
Event
KXARRESTJOHNBOLTON-26JAN
Market
KXARRESTJOHNBOLTON-26JAN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.