Who will be Trump's ATF Director? Odds & Predictions 2026
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump's ATF Director?
Who will be Trump's ATF Director?
Robert Cekada
Yes
Robert Cekada
Yes
Brandon Herrera
No
Brandon Herrera
No
Blake Masters
No
Blake Masters
No
6 more
Market Rules
Robert Cekada
The outcome is Robert Cekada
Resolves Yes ifRobert Cekada is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be ATF Director between November 19, 2024 and December 31, 2026.Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 23, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedApr 29, 2026 · 4:16pm EDT
Paid outJan 1, 2027 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXATF
EventKXATF-26DEC31
MarketKXATF-26DEC31-RCEK
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