Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump's ATF Director?
Who will be Trump's ATF Director?
Robert Cekada
Yes
Robert Cekada
Yes
Brandon Herrera
No
Brandon Herrera
No
Blake Masters
No
Blake Masters
No
6 more
Market Rules
Robert Cekada
If Robert Cekada is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be ATF Director between November 19, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 23, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedApr 29, 2026 · 4:16pm EDT
Paid outJan 1, 2027 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXATF
EventKXATF-26DEC31
MarketKXATF-26DEC31-RCEK
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) is dedicated to enhancing public safety by enforcing federal laws related to firearms, explosives, arson, alcohol, and tobacco. ATF conducts investigations using specialized expertise, intelligence, and partnerships to combat violent crime and protect communities. The agency upholds the Constitution while prioritizing integrity, transparency, and collaboration in its mission to create safer communities. (Source: ATF.gov)