If Amish Shah wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 AZ-01 House seat, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Democratic Party.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 20, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close after Amish Shah wins the party's nomination. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 3, 2026 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXAZ01D
EventKXAZ01D-25
MarketKXAZ01D-25-ASHA
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Paid campaign staffers on Senate campaigns.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Senatorial campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs" (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g. the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University's polling division). The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute "major" and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations (including, but not necessarily exclusive to, Fox News, ABC News, AP, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News). The Exchange shall determine which media organizations constitute "major" and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
Any foreign national. This is defined as an individual who is: (1) not a citizen of the United States and (2) not lawfully admitted for permanent residence (as defined in 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(20)); or a foreign principal, as defined in 22 U.S.C. § 611(b). Section 611(b) defines a foreign principal to include a foreign government or political party; or a partnership, association, corporation, organization, or other combination of persons organized under the laws of a foreign country or whose principal place of business is in a foreign country.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event