Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
Chance
Harry Kane
29%
▲ 1
Harry Kane
29%
▲ 1
Lionel Messi
18%
▲ 14
Lionel Messi
18%
▲ 14
Michael Olise
17%
▲ 3
Michael Olise
17%
▲ 3
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Market Rules
Harry Kane
Resolves Yes if Harry Kane wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026.Outcome verified from ESPN, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 23, 2026 · 8:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXBALLONDOR
EventKXBALLONDOR-26
MarketKXBALLONDOR-26-HKAN
Insider trading is prohibited
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