Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Begins in 117 days · Oct 4, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Workers' Party
71%
▲ 7
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Workers' Party
71%
▲ 7
Flávio Bolsonaro
Liberal Party
25%
▲ 5
Flávio Bolsonaro
Liberal Party
25%
▲ 5
Fernando Haddad
Workers' Party
18%
Fernando Haddad
Workers' Party
18%
4 more
Market Rules
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 25, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXBRPRES1R
EventKXBRPRES1R-26OCT04
MarketKXBRPRES1R-26OCT04-LSIL
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event