How many Cabinet members will Trump get confirmed before March?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▲ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before March 1, 2025 (+0)
$1,856,470vol
14
No
15
Yes
16
No
Rules summary for
14
If exactly 14 Cabinet members are confirmed by the Senate before Mar 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
Only the first successful confirmation for each position will be included. The relevant positions eligible are: The Secretaries of State, Treasury, Defense, Interior, Agriculture, Commerce, Labor, Health and Human Services, Transportation, Energy, Veterans Affairs, Homeland Secretary, and the Attorney General; and the Office of Management and Budget Director, the United States Trade Representative, the United States Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of Council of Economic Advisors, and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
