Next government of Canada?

Next government of Canada?

$5,848,174 vol

ALL

Liberal minority

Yes

Liberal minority

Yes

Conservative majority

No

Conservative majority

No

Liberal majority

No

Liberal majority

No

3 more

Important information: A sole 'minority' government (e.g. 'Liberal minority') means the relevant party is the ruling government but does not have a confidence and supply agreement with any party or a majority of seats in the House of Commons.

Market Rules

Liberal minority

The outcome is Liberal minority

If the Liberal minority make up the next elected government of Canada, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Market openMar 17, 2025 · 5:45pm EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

The market will close and expire once a stable government has been formed. Otherwise, it closes by May 27, 2025 at 12:25pm EDT.

SeriesKXCANCOALITION

EventKXCANCOALITION-30

MarketKXCANCOALITION-30-LMINOR

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.