Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% this year?
Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% this year?
Begins in 257 days · Feb 23, 8:00am EST
$2,333 vol
Chance
Decline greater than 20%
28%
▲ 7
Decline greater than 20%
28%
▲ 7
Market Rules
Decline greater than 20%
If Statistics Canada reports that the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 is greater than 20% compared with 2025 in its "Travel between Canada and other countries, December 2026" release, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Statistics Canada.
The relevant figure is the full-year 2026 year-over-year percentage change for “Canadian-resident return trips from the United States,” as stated in Statistics Canada’s release text or related tables. If Statistics Canada does not publish a full-year percentage-change figure for 2026, the market will resolve using the percentage change calculated from Statistics Canada’s annual table for the same series.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 6, 2026 · 7:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCANUSTRIPS
EventKXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23
MarketKXCANUSTRIPS-27FEB23-T20
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.