CA-21 primary: first place
CA-21 primary: first place
Chance
Jim Costa
Democratic
99%
▲ 2
Jim Costa
Democratic
99%
▲ 2
Lorenzo Rios
Republican
--%
Lorenzo Rios
Republican
--%
Eric Garcia
Democratic
<1%
Eric Garcia
Democratic
<1%
3 more
Market Rules
Jim Costa
If Jim Costa wins the the 2026 CA-21 primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State.
This market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 18, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCAPRIMARY
EventKXCAPRIMARY-21FIRST26
MarketKXCAPRIMARY-21FIRST26-JCOS
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
- Immediate family members (spouses and dependents) of any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
- Paid staffers on any campaign listed within this event.
- Third-party vendors, contractors, consultants, and outside counsel (and employees thereof) engaged by any campaign listed within this event.
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- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and independent-expenditure-only political committees ("Super PACs") active in any race listed within this event.
- Registered federal lobbyists retained by any campaign, party organization, or PAC active in any race listed within this event.
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- State legislators serving on committees with jurisdiction over election administration in any state with a race listed within this event.
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Executive Office of the President, including the Office of the President and the Office of the Vice President.
- Commissioners and staff of the Federal Election Commission.
- Senior staff (Schedule C and equivalent political appointees) of any federal agency with jurisdiction over election administration, election security, or election-related enforcement, including without limitation the Department of Justice (Public Integrity Section, Election Crimes Branch, and Civil Rights Division Voting Section) and the Department of Homeland Security (CISA).
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- State Secretaries of State (and equivalent chief election officials), members of state and local boards of elections, election directors, registrars, and senior staff of state and local election administration offices.
- Any person working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
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- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations, including but not limited to Fox News, ABC News, the Associated Press, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ, NBC News, The New York Times, and Reuters.
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