CA-24 primary: first place
CA-24 primary: first place
Chance
Helena Pasquarella
--%
Helena Pasquarella
--%
Sarah Bacon
Democratic
<1%
Sarah Bacon
Democratic
<1%
Bob Smith
Republican
--%
Bob Smith
Republican
--%
Salud Carbajal
Democratic
95%
Salud Carbajal
Democratic
95%
Market Rules
Helena Pasquarella
If Helena Pasquarella wins the the 2026 CA-24 primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State.
This market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 18, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCAPRIMARY
EventKXCAPRIMARY-24FIRST26
MarketKXCAPRIMARY-24FIRST26-HPAS
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
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