What will the Reserve Bank of Australia do at the February RBA meeting?
What will the Reserve Bank of Australia do at the February RBA meeting?
Hike 1-25 basis points
Yes
Hike 1-25 basis points
Yes
Cut more than 25bp
No
Cut more than 25bp
No
Maintain current rate
No
Maintain current rate
No
2 more
Market Rules
Hike 1-25 basis points
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Hike 1-25 basis points at Feb 2026 RBA meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Reserve Bank of Australia.
The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes). To be clear: This market will resolve based on the decision at the Feb 2026 RBA meeting; the original market rules summary included a typo that incorrectly indicated the 2025 meeting.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 9, 2025 · 6:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA
EventKXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA-26FEB03
MarketKXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA-26FEB03-H25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.