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Bank of Canada decision in October? Odds & Predictions 2026
Economics
·
Global Central Banks
Bank of Canada decision in October?
Economics
·
Global Central Banks
Bank of Canada decision in October?
Chance
Maintains rate
58%
Yes
63¢
No
41¢
Maintains rate
58%
Yes
63¢
No
41¢
Hike 25bps
24%
Yes
19¢
No
88¢
Hike 25bps
24%
Yes
19¢
No
88¢
Cut 25bps
22%
Yes
13¢
No
90¢
Cut 25bps
22%
Yes
13¢
No
90¢
2 more
Market Rules
Maintains rate
If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
in hierarchical order
,
central bank
,
Federal Reserve Economic Data
,
Bloomberg Terminal
,
Reuters
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
Financial Times
,
The New York Times
,
Associated Press
,
CNN
,
BBC
,
MarketWatch
,
Bloomberg News
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
, and
NBC
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Oct 13, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 28, 2026 at 9:29am EDT.
Series
KXCBDECISIONCANADA
Event
KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26OCT
Market
KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26OCT-H0
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$1,087 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL