What will the Bank of Japan do at the December 2025 BOJ meeting?
What will the Bank of Japan do at the December 2025 BOJ meeting?
Market Rules
Hike 21-40 basis points
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Hike 21-40 basis points at Dec 2025 BOJ meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from in hierarchical order, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve Economic Data, Bloomberg Terminal, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, The New York Times, Associated Press, CNN, BBC, MarketWatch, Bloomberg News, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, ABC, CBS, Fox News, MSNBC, and NBC.
The market resolves based on the Uncollateralized Overnight Call Rate announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 8, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCBDECISIONJAPAN
EventKXCBDECISIONJAPAN-25DEC18
MarketKXCBDECISIONJAPAN-25DEC18-H2140
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.