Who will be Trump’s CIA Director? Odds & Predictions 2026
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump’s CIA Director?
Who will be Trump’s CIA Director?
Market Rules
John Ratcliffe
The outcome is John Ratcliffe
If John Ratcliffe is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be CIA Director between November 12, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 12, 2024 · 10:00pm EST
Market closedJan 27, 2025 · 2:53pm EST
Paid outJan 1, 2027 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXCIA
EventKXCIA-26DEC31
MarketKXCIA-26DEC31-JR
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About
The Director of the CIA oversees intelligence collection, analysis, covert operations, counterintelligence, and relationships with foreign intelligence services, focusing heavily on human intelligence (HUMINT). President-elect Trump has nominated John Ratcliffe for this role, but he has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: CIA.gov)