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  1. Trump

Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?



Chance

Before Jan 1, 2027
32%

Before Jan 1, 2027

32%

Before Jul 1, 2027
38%

Before Jul 1, 2027

38%

Before Sep 1, 2026
No

Before Sep 1, 2026

No

Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Odds
34% chance
Max payout
Dec 31, 2026
$0
$601 vol
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