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Trump
Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?
Chance
Before Jan 1, 2027
32%
Yes
32¢
No
77¢
Before Jan 1, 2027
32%
Yes
32¢
No
77¢
Before Jul 1, 2027
38%
Yes
43¢
No
66¢
Before Jul 1, 2027
38%
Yes
43¢
No
66¢
Before Sep 1, 2026
No
Before Sep 1, 2026
No
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?
Before Jan 1, 2027
YES 32¢
NO 77¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
34% chance
Max payout
Dec 31, 2026
$0
Sign up to trade
$601 vol
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